It’s safety first as funds buy low beta, high dividend yield stocks during selloff

Fund managers top stock picks were public sector undertakings (PSU companies).

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In the private sector, they bought shares of companies with dominant market share.
Fund managers opted for safety and predictability in their stock pickings in March when the Sensex and Nifty dropped 23%. They bought shares of companies with relatively low beta, fairly good dividend yield, good market share in their business and strong backing of the government, which lowers the probability of default on payments. Their top stock picks were public sector undertakings (PSU companies) which offer reasonably good dividend yield, have high market share in their line of business and stability of earnings due to their favourable business models. In the private sector, they bought shares of companies with dominant market share. Here is the lowdown on five companies which managers of leading fund houses bought in March this year.

Coal India

CMP: Rs 145
Market cap: Rs 90,566 crore

Bought by: HDFC MF

A few fundamental factors make Coal India one of the most interesting ideas in the current extremely volatile phase of markets. Coal India has net cash balance of close to Rs 29,500 crore as of FY20. It has dividend yield of 9.34%. If one discounts the fact of low industrial production data largely due to the lockdown restrictions, the company’s business model remains intact. It is the largest coal producer in India with 11 direct and indirect subsidiaries. It caters to power plants, which form over 70% of offtake of its inventory. Besides this, the company caters to sectors such as steel, cement, and fertiliser, among others. Once construction activities start and execution of capital expenditure of India Inc gains pace, Coal India is likely to benefit meaningfully.

NTPC

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CMP: Rs 88.6
Market cap: Rs 87,715 crore
Bought by: Franklin Templeton

Assured return on equity business model, high dividend yield of 6.98% and the acquisition of THDC India (formerly Tehri Hydro Development Corporation) and North Eastern Electric Power Corp (Neepco) are a few factors which form convincing arguments for eliciting fund managers’ interest in the NTPC stock. NTPC, which is mainly into thermal power, will add 2,500 megawatts of operating hydropower plants through the aforementioned acquisitions. In the broad market fall in recent months, the company’s valuation has become attractive. Analysts expected the company’s earnings per share to grow in the range of 17-19% for the present and the next fiscal.

Tata Consumer

CMP: Rs 305
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Market cap: Rs 28,158 crore
Bought by: ICICI Prudential

There are a few key reasons for buying into the shares of Tata Consumer Products. One, the company’s share price fell close to 32% in the third week of March during the broad market fall. It provided a good entry point for fund managers. Second, the company, which is into key essential products such as tea, coffee, salt and lentils, was not expected to fall as severely as companies which do not manufacture essential products. This aspect of defensive theme with a sharp focus on essential products provides it an edge among its peers in the industry. Thirdly, the company’s financials have been fairly stable with reasonably good growth in revenues over the past few years. Lastly, the parentage of the Tata Group offers stability to its balance sheet in uncertain times.
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ITC

CMP: Rs 182
Market cap: Rs 2.23 lakh crore
Bought by: SBI MF

A diversified business model, attractive valuations compared to its own historic averages and high dividend yield are attracting investors to this stock. Investors have been impressed with its strong operating cash flows, continuous capacity expansions across businesses and a healthy balance sheet. The company has declared its dividend policy last month, increasing its payout to 80-85% of earnings, which makes its dividend yield attractive, one of the highest a frontline company pays, giving huge margin of safety.

SBI

CMP: Rs 184
Market cap: Rs 1.64 lakh crore
Bought by: HDFC MF

A public sector banking giant, it has maintained its share of current and savings bank accounts in the market, despite the entry and aggressive marketing campaign of private sector banks, which is attracting long-term investors to the bank. It is the market leader in retail assets like mortgage and auto loans with its assets being of high quality, while its corporate NPAs are staying low. All its subsidiaries like SBI AMC, life insurance, general insurance and SBI Cards are leaders in their business and have added value to the bank.

Reliance, ICICI Bank among top money making ideas for next few weeks
1/13
Investors struggled to find right bets as the market direction remained hazy amid rise in coronavirus cases in the country. Talks of an extended lockdown also pushed the bulls on the back foot after stellar rally last week.

In just three sessions last week, Sensex and Nifty, snapped a seven-week losing streak and rose 10 per cent each.

While many believe the bottom has been formed, the market may also take cues from the number of new coronavirus infections and the quarterly corporate earnings season.

In this backdrop, here are 12 money-making ideas that may deliver gains over the next few weeks.
Investors struggled to find right bets as the market direction remained hazy amid rise in coronavirus cases in the country. Talks of an extended lockdown also pushed the bulls on the back foot after ..
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The counter is attractively placed with two positive closes on weekly charts and appears to be on the path of consolidation after hitting a bottom at recent low of Rs 895, the analyst said. He believes that sooner than later the stock should witness a breakout above the congestion zone of last eight sessions present in Rs 1,010–925 range. Hence, positional traders in anticipation of a breakout should buy into this counter and add further on declines into the zone of Rs 955–940 and look for a target of Rs 1,095.

[Mazhar Mohammad, Chief Strategist – Technical Research & Trading Advisory, Chartviewindia.in]
The counter is attractively placed with two positive closes on weekly charts and appears to be on the path of consolidation after hitting a bottom at recent low of Rs 895, the analyst said. He believ..
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According to the analyst, the weekly chart of this counter is looking very promising as three preceding weekly candles turned into extremely narrower trading range hinting that selling pressure is drying up. With decent basing formation for last 17 sessions this counter appears to be ripe for a breakout, he said, recommending positional traders to buy into this counter and look for a target of Rs 87.

[Mazhar Mohammad, Chief Strategist – Technical Research & Trading Advisory, Chartviewindia.in]
According to the analyst, the weekly chart of this counter is looking very promising as three preceding weekly candles turned into extremely narrower trading range hinting that selling pressure is dr..
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According to the analyst, after two weeks of Doji kind of indecisive formations on weekly charts this counter registered a robust bull candle, hinting that it has embarked on a short-term uptrend, which is clearly visible with higher top and higher bottom type of bullish sequence on daily charts. Moreover, it has decisively closed above its 9-day EMA, which was acting as resistance on pull back attempts, he said. The experts recommended positional traders to buy into this counter with a target of Rs 107 with a stop below Rs 83 on closing basis.

[Mazhar Mohammad, Chief Strategist – Technical Research & Trading Advisory, Chartviewindia.in]
According to the analyst, after two weeks of Doji kind of indecisive formations on weekly charts this counter registered a robust bull candle, hinting that it has embarked on a short-term uptrend, wh..
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The stock seems to have completed Wave B retracement and now it has provided a breakout from the downtrend line resistance. With a breakout from the downtrend line resistance Wave C up seems to have started and the minimum target on the upside comes to Rs 5800, the analyst said. The daily as well as hourly momentum indicator MACD is well in the buy mode with a positive divergence, he said, adding that he recommends buying the stock for a target of Rs 5,800 with a stop loss of Rs 4,400.

[Jay Thakkar, Vice President and Head of Equity Research, Marwadi Shares]
The stock seems to have completed Wave B retracement and now it has provided a breakout from the downtrend line resistance. With a breakout from the downtrend line resistance Wave C up seems to have ..
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The stock has provided a breakout from the falling channel with a clear buy crossover in its daily as well as hourly momentum indicator MACD, the analyst said, adding that the breakout from the wedge clearly indicates that the stock is ready for the retracement of the entire fall. He recommends buying it for a target of Rs 330 with a stop loss of Rs 265.

[Jay Thakkar, Vice President and Head of Equity Research, Marwadi Shares]
The stock has provided a breakout from the falling channel with a clear buy crossover in its daily as well as hourly momentum indicator MACD, the analyst said, adding that the breakout from the wedge..
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The stock has provided a breakout from the falling channel and the move prior to that was a clear impulse move, the analyst said, adding that the momentum indicator MACD is well in the buy mode on the daily as well as hourly charts, hence another impulse on the way up is expected. He recommends buying the stock for a target of Rs 775 with a stop loss of Rs 625.

[Jay Thakkar, Vice President and Head of Equity Research, Marwadi Shares]
The stock has provided a breakout from the falling channel and the move prior to that was a clear impulse move, the analyst said, adding that the momentum indicator MACD is well in the buy mode on th..
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The stock has witnessed a decent erosion form the Rs 740 level and has bottomed out near Rs 450, indicating a trend reversal. The RSI is also showing strength, which is also on the rise and has signalled a buy, the analyst said. She suggests buying this stock for an upside target of Rs 630- Rs 650 keeping the stop loss of Rs 460.

[Vaishali Parekh, Head of Technical Research, Prabhudas Lilladher]
The stock has witnessed a decent erosion form the Rs 740 level and has bottomed out near Rs 450, indicating a trend reversal. The RSI is also showing strength, which is also on the rise and has signa..
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The stock has almost made a double bottom formation pattern in the daily chart taking support near the Rs 1,080-Rs 1,100 zone, and has bounced back making the chart attractive, the analyst said. The RSI indicator also has shown a trend reversal to signal a buy and has made the bias positive. You can buy this stock for an upside target of Rs 1,600 keeping the stop loss of Rs 1,100.

[Vaishali Parekh, Head of Technical Research, Prabhudas Lilladher]
The stock has almost made a double bottom formation pattern in the daily chart taking support near the Rs 1,080-Rs 1,100 zone, and has bounced back making the chart attractive, the analyst said. The ..
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On the weekly chart, Biocon has broken out from a Triangle pattern, triggering resumption of the uptrend, the analyst said, adding that a sustained trade beyond Rs 323 can take it higher to levels of Rs 360-380. On the daily chart, stock is making higher highs and higher lows and recent bull candles witnessed buying on volumes suggesting bullishness. Moreover, the RSI has turned northwards from the neutral level of 50 confirming bullishness. The stock can be bought in the range of Rs 330-335 for targets of Rs 360-380, keeping a stop loss below Rs 300.

[Aditya Agarwala, Senior Technical Analyst - Institutional Equities, YES Securities]
On the weekly chart, Biocon has broken out from a Triangle pattern, triggering resumption of the uptrend, the analyst said, adding that a sustained trade beyond Rs 323 can take it higher to levels of..
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