Brave New World: Tail risks, sectoral rotation and the problem with gold
Prices of used cars and trucks of up to eight years old that were sold at wholesale auctions in US during the week ended March 21 jumped by 3.1% from the prior week.

Inflation expectations are on the rise
If consumers expect prices to remain stable, then they don’t rush to buy goods, but if they expect prices will rise tomorrow, then they will buy “today”.

New job postings via Indeed.com continue to look strong

Postings will continue to rise, but the openings will be difficult to fill because of generous unemployment benefits. This will lead to rising wages.
Prices of used cars and trucks of up to eight years old that were sold at wholesale auctions in US during the week ended March 21 jumped by 3.1% from the prior week.

- This is mostly a chip problem, but I believe this will happen in more industries due to broken supply chains.
- We are moving from globalization to deglobalization. Companies that can secure their supply chains will be big winners.
Sector rotation continues

This chart explains it so well!
The problem with gold is rising real yields.

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