Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Tuesday

Indian equities rallied sharply as easing oil prices following renewed US-Iran talks boosted sentiment. Sensex gained 544 points and Nifty surged 1.6%, adding nearly Rs 5 lakh crore in market value, while FII inflows, a stronger rupee and upbeat e...

Agencies
Sensex and Nifty surged as falling crude prices, stronger FII inflows and robust earnings lifted sentiment, with investors now awaiting the RBI policy decision.
The Indian stock market traded sharply higher on Monday, with Nifty rallying 1.6% and Sensex rising 0.7%, as US President Donald Trump said talks with Iran would take place today, triggering a sharp fall in oil prices and boosting investor sentiment on Dalal Street.

Sensex rose over 544 points to close above 78,639, while Nifty 50 rose around 391 points to end the session at 24,774. The sharp gains added nearly Rs 5 lakh crore to the total market capitalisation of all companies listed on BSE, pulling it up to Rs 491 lakh crore.

Here's how analysts read the market pulse


The decline in crude oil prices, driven by expectations of renewed dialogue between the US and Iran, provided relief to markets by easing concerns over inflation and corporate earnings, said Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments. He added that the market sentiment was further supported by a rebound in FII inflows and a strengthening rupee, although elevated US bond yields remain a key risk to the sustainability of foreign flows into emerging markets. Most sectors ended in positive territory, led by IT and FMCG, while pharma witnessed profit booking following its recent gains and the latest Q1 results, he noted.

The Q1 FY27 earnings season continues to progress ahead of expectations, with small-cap companies emerging as the strongest performers relative to large- and mid-cap peers, the analyst said. “Investors will closely watch the upcoming RBI policy meeting for commentary on inflation risks, liquidity conditions, and the future policy trajectory, although interest rates are widely expected to remain unchanged,” he added.

US stocks
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Wall Street's main indexes opened higher on the first trading day of August as signs of de-escalating tensions in the Middle East dragged down crude prices, while investors prepared for another week packed with earnings and economic data.

U.S. President Donald Trump on Sunday ‌said talks with ⁠Iran to reopen ⁠the Strait of Hormuz would take place sometime on Monday, though Iran contradicted him.

Brent crude prices slid over 5.5% while the yield on the two-year Treasury note dipped 3.9 basis points.

Most megacap and growth stocks rose in early trading. Amazon.com gained 4.8% to reach $3 trillion in market value for the first time.
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European markets

European shares rose on Monday as oil prices dropped sharply after U.S. President Donald Trump said talks with Iran were expected later in the day, raising hopes that diplomacy could avert a further escalation in the ‌conflict.
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The pan-European STOXX ⁠600 ⁠index was up 0.4% at 651.69 points, with most major regional bourses trading higher. Germany's DAX led the gains, jumping 1.4%.

Tech view

Nifty rebounded after nearly two months of consolidation, delivering a decent recovery despite the prevailing subdued market sentiment, said Rupak De, Senior Technical Analyst at LKP Securities. However, based on the closing price-adjusted chart, the index has rallied up to its 200-day moving average (200DMA), which is a crucial resistance level, he added.

"From here, two scenarios are possible. The first is that the index faces resistance near the 200DMA and retraces towards the 24,400 level, allowing the recent sharp rally to cool off. Alternatively, if the index manages to break and sustain above the 200DMA, i.e., above 24,800, it could trigger follow-up buying and extend the rally towards 25,000–25,350," according to the analyst.

Most active stocks in terms of turnover

Muthoot Finance (Rs 2,433 crore), Redington (Rs 2,385 crore), Bajaj Finance (Rs 1,594 crore), Divis Labs (Rs 1,501 crore), Urban Company (Rs 1,367 crore), Maruti Suzuki (Rs 1,357 crore) and BSE (Rs 1,356 crore) were among the most active stocks on NSE in value terms. Higher activity in a counter in value terms can help identify the counters with the highest trading turnovers in the day.

Most active stocks in volume terms

Vodafone Idea (Traded shares: 23.54 crore), JP Power (Traded shares: 19.7 crore), Zee Entertainment Enterprises (Traded shares: 10.76 crore), Urban Company (Traded shares: 9.28 crore), Pine Labs (Traded shares: 7.1 crore), Redington (Traded shares: 6.9 crore) and Suzlon Energy (Traded shares: 5.53 crore) were among the most actively traded stocks in volume terms on NSE.

Stocks showing buying interest

Urban Company, Balrampur Chini, Pine Labs, Aegis Logistics, Redington, LTIMindtree and Firstsource were among the stocks that witnessed strong buying interest from market participants.

52-week high

Among the ones which hit their 52-week highs on NSE included Balrampur Chini, Redington, Divis Labs, Gabriel India, Grasim Industries, Paytm and Aditya Birla Group.

Stocks seeing selling pressure

Stocks which witnessed significant selling pressure were Zee Entertainment Enterprises, Muthoot Finance, Blue Jet Healthcare, Latent View Analytics, Narayana Hruday, CG Power and Thermax.

Sentiment meter favours bulls

Out of the 3,505 stocks that traded on the NSE on August 3, Monday, 2,358 stocks witnessed advances, 1,027 saw declines while 120 stocks remained unchanged.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
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