Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Thursday

Indian equities plunged nearly 1% before recovering, as escalating US-Iran tensions, soaring crude prices and global bond stress battered sentiment. Sensex closed 374 points lower, while Nifty fell 141 points, with analysts warning of continued be...

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The Indian stock market slipped into the deep red on Wednesday, with Sensex and Nifty falling around 1% briefly before recovering some losses as escalating US-Iran tensions, soaring oil prices and other factors spooked investors.

After opening, Sensex dropped over 750 points to fall below 76,200 while Nifty 50 plunged over 200 points to slip below 23,800 level in the morning. The sharp drop in the stock market wiped off nearly Rs 5 lakh crore from the total market capitalisation of BSE within minutes from opening, dragging it down to Rs 488 lakh crore.

The market however recovered some losses following the closing auction session (CAS), with Sensex closing 374 points lower at 76,570 and Nifty 50 ending 141 points lower at 23,914 on Wednesday.


Here's how analysts read the market pulse

The deepening global bond rout, amid escalating West Asia tensions and bets that central banks will need to tighten monetary policy, has gripped investor sentiment in fear, said Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments. Tracking negative global cues, domestic equities saw volatile trade, with mid-caps bearing the brunt, he noted.

Sectorally, while auto and IT stocks dragged markets down, gains in upstream oil & gas on realisation bets amid rising crude, alongside value buying in banking stocks, helped the market recover from its intraday lows, the analyst added.
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US stocks

The benchmark S&P 500 and the blue-chip Dow indexes rose on Wednesday, as investors weighed renewed U.S.-Iran clashes against signs of strength in the AI trade.

The latest strikes have pushed geopolitical tensions front and center, ending the uneasy calm of recent weeks and reviving inflation concerns, as the ‌biggest U.S.-Iran exchange ⁠of fire since ⁠July fueled fears of a broader regional conflict.

But the AI growth engine has helped sentiment, and investors are betting that a modest dose of macroeconomic uncertainty would not be enough to derail the tech trade.
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European markets

The pan-European STOXX 600 ⁠fell 0.3%, ⁠after sharper losses in Asia. Fears of further disruption to energy supplies lifted oil prices, with Brent crude futures last up 0.6% at $95.18 a barrel.
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Tech view

Following a gap-down start, Nifty 50 recovered during the day, though it ended the session with a loss, said Rupak De, Senior Technical Analyst at LKP Securities. He noted that the benchmark index has broken down from a rising channel amid sustained selling pressure in the market.

The weakness prevailed throughout the day, despite an intraday recovery. “The current bearish sentiment is likely to continue in the short term, and a sell-on-rise strategy may remain the preferred approach as long as the index remains below 24,000. On the lower end, the correction may extend towards 23,700–23,730,” according to the analyst.

Most active stocks in terms of turnover

IFCI (Rs 4,104 crore), HDFC Bank (Rs 2,595 crore), BSE (Rs 2,070 crore), Reliance Industries (Rs 1,767 crore), Coal India (Rs 1,424 crore), SBI (Rs 1,416 crore), and Kalyan Jewellers (Rs 1,228 crore) were among the most active stocks on NSE in value terms. Higher activity in a counter in value terms can help identify the counters with the highest trading turnovers in the day.

Most active stocks in volume terms

Vodafone Idea (Traded shares: 52.68 crore), IFCI (Traded shares: 42.81 crore), Suzlon Energy (Traded shares: 5.27 crore), Yes Bank (Traded shares: 4.48 crore), Ola Electric (Traded shares: 4.46 crore), HDFC Bank (Traded shares: 3.7 crore) and Coal India (Traded shares: 3.4 crore) were among the most actively traded stocks in volume terms on NSE.

Stocks showing buying interest

IFCI, New India Assurance, Aegis Vopak Terminals, Sai Life Science, Clean Science & Technology, JSW Energy and Coal India were among the stocks that witnessed strong buying interest from market participants.

52-week high

Among the ones which hit their 52-week highs on NSE included IFCI, Sai Life Science, Anthem Biosciences, Lenskart Solutions, PTC Industries, Welspun Corp and Ipca Labs.

Stocks seeing selling pressure

Stocks which witnessed significant selling pressure were RR Kabel, Authum Investment, Hero MotoCorp, Finolex Cables, Voltas, HFCL and Thermax.

52-week low

Among the ones which hit their 52-week lows on NSE included Voltas, Groww, Blue Star, Aditya Birla Lifestyle, KEC International, ICICI Lombard and IRCTC.

Sentiment meter favours bears

Out of the 3,630 stocks that traded on the NSE on September 1, Wednesday, 1,445 stocks witnessed advances, 2,073 saw declines while 112 stocks remained unchanged.

(With inputs from agencies)

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
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