AGM Note: This hidden gem from last decade has something big up its sleeve

This company has always been among the top picks of many ace investors.

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Ankit Sharda, one of our coolest smallcap predator attended the AGM of one of his favourite bet and forwarded us the AGM snippets.
By Arun Mukherjee and Soumya Malani

(Kolkata’s Arun Mukherjee, a college dropout by choice, and Soumya Malani, a London School of Economics passout, have come to be known as smallcap aficionados in India’s investor community. They would show up at most AGMs, visit the remotest factories of a company and go chasing end-users to understand their experiences with a product in their passionate hunt for good smallcaps. Soumya and Arun would be sharing their experiences with companies and from the ground in this space every now and then. Keep watching.. )

1. Manav Poddar (son of promoter Suresh K Poddar) is not involved in the business of Mayur Uniquoters anymore. He holds about 16 per cent stake in the company and according to the management, he would continue to hold the same. The management said prices of finished products are driven more by demand and supply than changes in costing.


2. Currently, in the footwear segment the company doesn’t see much potential to increase prices. So, margins may come under pressure in the near term. Not much headway has been made in Mysore project; land acquisition is still not complete. The management did not give any timeline for the same.

3. Gwalior/PU project: Things are going as per the plan. The management hopes to start first line with 3.5 lakh metres capacity per month by March/April 2019. This can take 6-8 months to stabilise and second line would be planned only after assessing the demand scenario.

4. Also, the company is planning to bring Gwalior facility into production of PU resin. Capex required for that is Rs 10-15 crore. The company’s total capex guidance is for Rs 60 crore at company level for FY19. It may look at foreign acquisitions selectively for technology knowhow/ forward integration/ market access.

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5. New clients: The company management has been guiding for addition of new clients in auto OEM for past 2-3 years, but it accepted that the same is taking longer than anticipated. It has secured approval for their products with Ford - though hasn’t received final order as yet.

6. The company has been following up with Mercedes for a few years now. But, finally things seem to be going Mayur’s way as currently almost 80 per cent of Merc’s requirement is being supplied by a single vendor, which Merc is not comfortable with. Hence, they are responding well now. Mayur has spent almost Rs 20 crore to upgrade its facility according to Merc’s specification. The Merc team is expected to audit & approve Mayur’s plant in January 2019.

7. The company has recruited one senior HR person and is looking to hire a couple of personnel in operations for Gwalior plant. The management refused to give any guidance on volume growth/margins.

Our take:
Ankit Sharda, one of our coolest smallcap predator attended the AGM of one of his favourite bet and forwarded us the AGM snippets. From the investor’s point of view, this company has always been among the top picks of many ace investors and it has been a hidden gem throughout the decade. It is a wealth creator in true sense and has been consistent at that. The stock has probably been one of the top performers of the 21st century, multiplying nearly 2000 times from Rs 0.20 in June, 2003 to Rs 400 recently. Every thousand rupees invested back then would have now become Rs 20 lakh now. The beauty is that this does not include the handsome dividends that the company has paid all these years. The addressable market size for the company is around Rs 5,000-7000 crore, which broadly has nearly a dozen players, excluding the unorganized sector, which is of equal size.

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Over the next five years, the industry is likely to double on account of rising demand from footwear, automobile, furnishings and other sectors which require artificial leather. Happy days seem to be ahead for the shareholders.

Will 2019 bring any luck for commodities?
1/6
From oil and copper to coffee and sugar, most commodities lay low in 2018.

Will it be a Happy New Year for top raw materials as we get into 2019? Only time will tell, though a reasonably positive picture comes to the fore.

There are some high voltage events getting lined up as we look at prospects and pitfalls of these commodities. Let's analyse the issue in detail.
From oil and copper to coffee and sugar, most commodities lay low in 2018. Will it be a Happy New Year for top raw materials as we get into 2019? Only time will tell, though a reasonably positive p..
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Oil's slide from a four-year high into a bear market was the talking point of 2018. Higher US shale output, Iranian sanction waivers and a supply cut from OPEC+ seen by some as too little were the main culprits. Worries about global growth made the bears dig in their heels.

But the point is supply risks are underestimated. In Venezuela, supply may tumble below 1 million barrels a day. US waivers on Iranian cargoes are only temporary, and not all may be renewed in May. The Saudis can strike back with deeper cuts. OPEC’s next meeting is due in April, and prices may have regained some ground by then. The median Brent forecast tracked by Bloomberg is $68 as against about $56 at present.
Oil's slide from a four-year high into a bear market was the talking point of 2018. Higher US shale output, Iranian sanction waivers and a supply cut from OPEC+ seen by some as too little were the m..
Read More
Gold bulls ruled towards the end of 2018. And chances are the yellow metal may stand its ground. The reasons are not far to seek. Support for prices may come in at a six-month high as the Federal Reserve goes slower on rate hikes, and investors avoid heat from equity market turmoil and a slowing global growth.

More tailwinds could just be round the corner. A golden cross -- as the 50-day moving average tops its 200-day counterpart -- is close, and a few more tonnes added to exchange-traded funds will lift holdings to the highest since 2013. A December 11-19 survey of 20 analysts and traders reflected a positive tone, with the median estimate of $1,325 an ounce. Futures just went beyond $1,300.
Gold bulls ruled towards the end of 2018. And chances are the yellow metal may stand its ground. The reasons are not far to seek. Support for prices may come in at a six-month high as the Federal Re..
Read More
2018 turned out to be the worst run since 2015 for copper, which fell every quarter last year. The biggest bugbear was concerns that global growth is slowing and the lingering US-China trade stand-off.

But investors are latching on to some positive signs. One of them is global stockpile tracked by exchanges, with holdings in London Metal Exchange sheds at a decade-low.

To be sure, copper took a hit from trade war swings in 2018, but 2019 could see the reverse happening. If Washington and Beijing settle some issues, copper stands to gain. The median of forecasts tracked by Bloomberg puts the metal, which was last at $5,833, above $6,400.
2018 turned out to be the worst run since 2015 for copper, which fell every quarter last year. The biggest bugbear was concerns that global growth is slowing and the lingering US-China trade stand-o..
Read More
Any signs of improving trade relations between the US and China is good news for soybeans. That narrative should stick on in 2019. The oilseed rallied in late 2018 on resumption of some imports of American beans by China. The magnitude of the purchases was a disappointment for traders.

There are hopes that the two will reach an accord before the end of a 90-day truce. Brazil’s coming harvest is a factor to track. Farmers there are looking at yet another bumper year and that rush of supply would further suppress US prices, especially if China stays closed.
Any signs of improving trade relations between the US and China is good news for soybeans. That narrative should stick on in 2019. The oilseed rallied in late 2018 on resumption of some imports of A..
Read More
Iron ore runs the risk of a drop after averaging almost $70 a tonne last year. what are the headwinds? A slower pace of expansion in China, with steel output likely at best to plateau, poses a big danger.

China's policy decisions -- especially additional stimulus amid the trade war and conduct of the anti-pollution drive -- can go anywhere.

Adding to downward pressure, more supply is on the way.
Iron ore runs the risk of a drop after averaging almost $70 a tonne last year. what are the headwinds? A slower pace of expansion in China, with steel output likely at best to plateau, poses a big d..
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(Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this column are that of the writer. The facts and opinions expressed here do not reflect the views of www.economictimes.com.)
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