RBI's $5 billion FX swap subscribed nearly twice over

The ​swap comes at a time when the central bank continues to defend ​a rapidly weakening rupee by selling dollars from forex reserves. Such a move can remove rupee liquidity from the country's ​banking system and can push up ⁠interest rates.

RBI's $5 billion FX swap subscribed nearly twice over
The Reserve Bank of India's three-year dollar/rupee ​buy-sell swap drew strong ​demand on Tuesday, with the auction receiving bids ​of nearly $10 billion, almost twice the size of the auction.

The central bank accepted 141 bids at the FX swap auction, with the premium ‌cut-off set ⁠at 9.10 ⁠rupees. It had received a total of 254 bids worth $9.8 billion.

The swap comes at a time when the central bank continues to defend a rapidly weakening rupee by selling dollars from forex reserves. Such a move can remove rupee liquidity from the country's banking system and can push up ⁠interest rates.


Through ‌the settlement of the initial leg of ​the swap, ​scheduled for Friday, the Reserve Bank of ⁠India will inject rupee liquidity back into the ​banking system. The swap will be reversed three ​years later.

India's banking system liquidity surplus has averaged below 2 trillion rupees ($20.93 billion) so far in May, which is less than 0.8% of deposits.

The Indian currency has fallen to consecutive record lows, including an all-time low of 96.96 ‌per dollar last week. It recovered to about 95.50 on the back of central bank interventions ​and a ​retreat in oil ⁠prices.
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Meanwhile, the bond yield curve flattened as short-term rates priced in rate hikes, perhaps as soon as in June, while long-term ​rates were yet to reflect these expectations.

Far tenor dollar-rupee forward premiums fell after the auction results were announced. The three-year forward premium last stood at 9 rupees, down from about 9.25 rupees before the results.
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