Infosys: Rupee to remain volatile, may depreciate further
Infosys, whose operating margins were up 3% due to depreciation of rupee against dollar, said the currency is likely to remain volatile.
"For the rupee, we assumed it at Rs 52 for the next quarter. We believe that currency will be volatile and the chances of it depreciating are higher," Infosys Member of the Board and Chief Financial Officer V Balakrishnan said.
Bangalore-based Infosys has forecast dollar revenue growth of 16.4 per cent for the current financial year, down from 17.1 per cent to 19.1 per cent projected in October.
The operating margins benefited around 4.4 per cent due to depreciation in the rupee. The company had some increase in other cost to the extent of 1.4 per cent, so net-net benefit was 3 per cent on operating margins, Balakrishnan added.
Despite the global economic uncertainty, Infosys today posted a better-than-expected 33 per cent rise in net profit to Rs 2,372 crore for the third quarter of this fiscal, helped by a weak rupee.
"It (rupee) could appreciate in the short-term but in the long-term it has to depreciate. Secondly, in a volatile global economic environment, India is seen as an emerging market risk to that extent, the inflows could be lower.
"Thirdly, India's growth story itself gets impacted because of the paralysed political system we have today. So if we put all that together, the chances of rupee depreciating are higher," he said.
The company said that in fact, the regulator (RBI) had taken some steps on the derivative front, on opening up the debt market front - that would help get some inflows. So one is witnessing some short-term appreciation, but if a medium-term view is taken, the rupee could depreciate further.
"...So our hedging position today is around USD 877 million. We normally hedge for two quarters. If the whole industry is taken under consideration, I think we have better management of currency and the impact on the margin because of currency movement is extremely low," Balakrishnan added.
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