Bitcoin hovers near $64,600 as inflation cools, geopolitical risks cap gains

Bitcoin traded flat near the $64,600 mark on Thursday as easing inflation and rising geopolitical tensions kept investors cautious. The world's largest cryptocurrency was last trading at $64,560.

Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin slipped 0.42%, while Ethereum gained 2.24% to trade at $1,917. Among major altcoins, BNB and XRP rose 0.45% and 0.51%, respectively, while Solana, Tron, Hyperliquid, Dogecoin and Cardano fell by up to 0.95%.

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Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Giottus, said softer-than-expected U.S. consumer and producer inflation data eased concerns over an immediate Federal Reserve rate hike. However, renewed geopolitical tensions and higher crude oil prices prevented a stronger risk-on rally.

He advised investors to avoid chasing short-term breakouts, adding that staggered accumulation, limited leverage and disciplined position sizing remain preferable until Bitcoin sustains above $65,500 and ETF inflows become more consistent.

According to CoinMarketCap, the global cryptocurrency market capitalisation edged up 0.1% to $2.22 trillion. The CoinDCX Research Team said Bitcoin touched a local high above $65,600, driven by nearly $209 million in short liquidations. It also noted that crypto ETFs other than Bitcoin and Ethereum saw virtually no activity.

Over the past week, Bitcoin and Ethereum gained 2.41% and 9.25%, respectively. Among major altcoins, BNB, XRP and Dogecoin rose by up to 1.61%, while Solana, Tron and Hyperliquid declined by up to 2.03%.

The CoinSwitch Markets Desk said Bitcoin climbed to a three-week high of $65,500 after U.S. producer inflation fell 0.3% month-on-month, reinforcing the softer CPI print released a day earlier, before easing below $65,000.

It added that Bitcoin now faces resistance around $67,200. A sustained breakout above this level could pave the way toward $70,000. However, traders remain cautious as the cryptocurrency approaches its 50-month exponential moving average (EMA), which has historically acted as a key resistance level during bearish phases.

Here’s what another analyst said:

Avinash Shekhar, Co-founder and CEO of Pi42, said the crypto market is showing encouraging signs of renewed institutional confidence, with Bitcoin supported by fresh ETF inflows while Ethereum continues to attract attention ahead of potential catalysts in the second half of the year.

He advised investors to build positions gradually with a disciplined approach rather than react to daily price swings or speculative narratives.

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Riya Sehgal, Research Analyst, Delta Exchange, said: “Bitcoin is still struggling to establish acceptance above the $65,000-$66,000 resistance zone. The first key support lies near $64,200. Ethereum continues to display stronger relative momentum, although its Relative Strength Index (RSI), at around 71, indicates overextended conditions.”

Nischal Shetty, Founder, WazirX, said: “The crypto market is witnessing renewed optimism as softer inflation data has eased concerns over further interest rate hikes. Lower rate expectations typically improve liquidity for risk assets, and signs of institutional confidence are already emerging, with both Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs recording fresh inflows last week.”

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions expressed by the experts are their own and do not represent the views of The Economic Times)