World lead and zinc market in surplus for Q1 2009

While rising equity markets and supposed revival in market sentiments are adding to gains of industrial metals, the demand supply scenario continue to portray a dismal picture.

MUMBAI: While rising equity markets and supposed revival in market sentiments are adding to gains of industrial metals, the demand supply scenario continue to portray a dismal picture.
According to latest data released by International Lead and Zinc Study Group (ILZSG) , the global market saw an oversupply of lead and zinc in the first quarter 2009.��
��Refined supply and usage ('000 tonnes)
��
Lead
Zinc
��
2007
2008
Jan -March
2007
2008
Jan -March
2008
2009
2008
2009
Production
8122
8671
2024
2040
11360
11666
2852
2605
Usage
8189
8648
2025
2007
11275
11483
2764
2418
deficit /surplus
-67
23
-1
33
85
183
88
187
Source : ILZSG��
The lead market was oversupplied by an estimated 33000 tonnes for the first three month of 2009, compared to a reported shortage of 1000 tonnes in the same period last year.
On a similar ground lead market experienced a surplus of nearly 187000 tonnes, a more than 200% jump in the oversupply experienced in the same quarter of 2008. ��
Zinc was the first industrial metal that experienced a decline since mid ��� 2007 due to a rise in supply. In 2007, the zinc market was oversupplied by 87,000 tonnes followed by about 187,000 tonnes of surplus in 2008. Compared to this, the first quarter oversupply for 2009 looks huge. ��
Meanwhile Lead marker that was running with a deficit till 2007, faced an over supply of 23000 tonnes for the year 2008. in 2009, the oversupply could see a sizeable gain given that for the first quarter itself the supply has risen by 42% compared to the total oversupply for 2008.��
One respite however comes looking at the supply demand numbers for the month of March 2009. With a plunge in global demand since mid-2008, a big numbers of producers and smelters have announced considerable production cuts. Most of these cuts however were announced post December 2009. For December 2009 while zinc market experienced a deficit of 8000 tonnes, lead market witnessed drop in over supply from 51000 tonnes in February to 20000 tonnes.�� ��
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