Oil drifts ahead of US-Iran nuclear talks

On Monday, oil prices maintained a steady pace as Washington and Tehran geared up for crucial dialogues. The persistent friction between the US and Iran has established a supportive base for crude values. Meanwhile, OPEC+ is contemplating an incre...

Oil drifts ahead of US-Iran nuclear talks
Oil prices traded sideways on Monday ahead of talks between ​Washington and Tehran, with concerns about ​Iran-U.S. tensions disrupting oil flows keeping a floor under prices, while OPEC+ ​leans in favour of resuming output hikes from April.

Brent crude futures edged down 3 cents to $67.72 a barrel by 0156 GMT after closing 23 cents higher on Friday.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $62.86 ‌a barrel, down ⁠3 cents. ⁠There will be no WTI settlement on Monday due to a holiday.


Last week, both benchmarks posted weekly declines ​with Brent settling down about 0.5%, while WTI lost 1%, as comments on Thursday from U.S. ​President Donald Trump that Washington could make a deal with Iran over the next month drove down prices on Thursday.

The two countries renewed negotiations earlier this month to tackle their ​decades-long dispute over Tehran's nuclear programme and avert a ⁠new military ‌confrontation, and are due to hold a second round of talks ​in Geneva on ​Tuesday.

Iran is pursuing a nuclear agreement with the U.S. that delivers ⁠economic benefits for both sides, including energy and mining investments ​and aircraft purchases up for discussion, an Iranian diplomat was reported ​as saying on Sunday.
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"With both sides expected to hold firm on their core red lines, expectations are low that a deal can be reached and this is likely to be the calm before the storm," IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said.

The U.S. has dispatched a second aircraft carrier to the region and is preparing for the possibility of ‌a sustained military campaign if the talks do not succeed, U.S. officials have told Reuters. Iran's Revolutionary Guards have warned that in case of ​strikes on Iranian ​territory, they could retaliate ⁠against any U.S. military base.

With U.S.-Iran tensions having bolstered prices, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, together called OPEC+, are leaning toward resuming output increases from April ​following a three-month halt, to meet peak summer demand, Reuters reported.

"The market reacted reasonably well to those reports," Sycamore said.
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"If that geopolitical premium or support wasn't there, crude oil would likely be trading sub $60 this morning," he said, referring to WTI.

Activity in global financial markets is expected to be muted on Monday with China, South Korea and Taiwan closed for holidays.
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