Weakness in the dollar provided some support to prices, say analysts.
Domestic gold and silver futures slumped on Thursday amid a rebound on Dalal Street as the yellow metal receded from a two-month peak overseas ahead of a policy rate decision by the European Central Bank.
Weakness in the dollar, which makes precious metals more attractive for those dealing in other currencies, provided some support to prices, say analysts.
MCX gold futures (delivery on June 4) declined by Rs 368 or 0.76 per cent to Rs 47,860 per 10 grams, having moved within a range of less than Rs 450 earlier on Thursday.
The August contract declined by Rs 404 or 0.83 per cent to Rs 48,100 per 10 grams.
MCX silver came down by Rs 638 or 0.91 per cent to Rs 69,700 per kilogram.
The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield remained below 1.6 per cent level. Low yields bring down the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.
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In the international market, spot gold was 0.28 per cent lower at $1,788 per ounce at the last count, after quoting in a $14 range during the day as against its previous close of $1,793.10. Spot silver was down 0.38 per cent at $26.47 per ounce at the time.
Back home, gold and silver of 99.9 per cent purity stood at Rs 47,864 per 10 grams and Rs 69,966 per kilogram in the spot market, respectively, according to Mumbai-based India Bullion and Jewellers Association (IBJA), an industry body. Both prices exclude GST.
#Gold and #Silver Opening #Rates for 20/04/2021#IBJA https://t.co/BuBnovhYIc
Meanwhile, the rupee depreciated by 6 paise to close at 74.94 against the dollar. The dollar index -- which gauges strength in the greenback against six peers -- quoted 0.05 per cent lower at 91.08 at the time.
Gold remains strong fundamentally, supported by weakness in the dollar and easing bond yields. Concerns on the pandemic front with record surges in infections are also boosting the metal's safe-haven appeal, according to analysts.
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"A bipartisan US congressional push to counteract China picked up steam as a Senate committee overwhelmingly backed a bill pressing Beijing on human rights and economic competition introducing a measure seeking billions for technology research," said Navneet Damani, VP-Commodities Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services.
Damani expects a broader range of $1,780-1,805 per ounce on COMEX gold (Rs 47,900-48,310 per 10 grams in domestic rates) in the near term.
Making money in commodities: 12 bets for up to 16% near-term returns
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Are commodities in a super cycle, and if so, are they poised to stay there for some time? While uncertainty surrounding the coronavirus pandemic has boosted bullion rates in the recent past, many other commodities -- from base metals to energy to agri packs -- are seeing late double-digit returns in the past one year. At this juncture, which pockets are promising bang for one's buck in the next few weeks?
Here are 12 commodity picks that analysts believe can fetch returns to the tune of 16% in the near term.
Are commodities in a super cycle, and if so, are they poised to stay there for some time? While uncertainty surrounding the coronavirus pandemic has boosted bullion rates in the recent past, many oth..
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Crude oil rates are supported strongly amid weakness in the dollar index towards seven-week lows and expectations of a drawdown in inventories in the US. Given the strong momentum in the prices, a 'buy' is recommended in a range of Rs 4,720-4,680 per barrel on the MCX crude oil May contract for targets of Rs 4,890 and then Rs 4920 mark in the coming days, with a stop loss at Rs 4,590.
(Sugandha Sachdeva , VP - Metals, Energy and Currency Research, Religare Broking)
Crude oil rates are supported strongly amid weakness in the dollar index towards seven-week lows and expectations of a drawdown in inventories in the US. Given the strong momentum in the prices, a 'b..
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Copper has moved higher after penetrating earlier highs with immediate resistance pegged near Rs 742. Momentum indicator RSI is favouring the bull case with immediate and strong supports near Rs 728 and Rs 725, respectively. The MCX May contract appears to be in a buying zone till Rs 725 holds.
(Ravindra Rao, CMT, EPAT, VP- Head Commodity Research at Kotak Securities)
Copper has moved higher after penetrating earlier highs with immediate resistance pegged near Rs 742. Momentum indicator RSI is favouring the bull case with immediate and strong supports near Rs 728 ..
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The contract is in positive territory on the daily chart, having broken a key trendline resistance. Momentum indicator RSI is also showing strength with strong support at Rs 6,100. A 'buy' is recommended in a range of Rs 6,450-6,520 for a target of Rs 7,200/7,500 with a stop loss below Rs 6,000.
(NS Ramaswamy, Head of Commodities, Ventura Securities)
The contract is in positive territory on the daily chart, having broken a key trendline resistance. Momentum indicator RSI is also showing strength with strong support at Rs 6,100. A 'buy' is recomme..
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Having formed a bullish harmonic pattern on the daily chart, the July contract of cotton seed oil cake futures is trading above the 50- and 200-day moving averages. Both momentum indicators Ichimoku and RSI suggest the price is in a positive zone, but some volatility is expected in the coming trading sessions. A 'buy' is recommended on the contract at Rs 2,800 for a target price of Rs 3,000 with a stop loss at Rs 2,660.
(Ajay Kedia, Founder and Director, Kedia Advisory)
(Image source: NCDEX)
Having formed a bullish harmonic pattern on the daily chart, the July contract of cotton seed oil cake futures is trading above the 50- and 200-day moving averages. Both momentum indicators Ichimoku ..
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Natural gas prices have risen in a successive higher-highs and higher-lows pattern, having surpassed crucial resistance at Rs 200 per mmbtu. The MCX April contract looks due to take a breather towards Rs 200 before rising towards the next resistance at Rs 211. Strength is supported by the prospect of colder-than-expected temperatures in several parts of the US which are likely to boost demand. Initiating a long position is recommended around Rs 199-200 per mmbtu for a target of Rs 211 with a stop loss at Rs 192.80.
(Sugandha Sachdeva , VP - Metals, Energy and Currency Research, Religare Broking)
Natural gas prices have risen in a successive higher-highs and higher-lows pattern, having surpassed crucial resistance at Rs 200 per mmbtu. The MCX April contract looks due to take a breather toward..
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A soft trend in the dollar along with the second wave of Covid-19 infections is likely to help gold rally strongly. The MCX June contract has held strongly above its 50-day moving average for 7-8 straight sessions with technical indicator RSI yet to hit an overbought zone on the daily chart. Bullions appear to be continuing a buy-on-dip market with support at Rs 47,050-46,750. A 'buy' is recommended for a target of Rs 48,250 with a stop loss below Rs 46,450.
(Jateen Trivedi, Senior Research Analyst, LKP Securities)
A soft trend in the dollar along with the second wave of Covid-19 infections is likely to help gold rally strongly. The MCX June contract has held strongly above its 50-day moving average for 7-8 str..
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MCX Bulldex futures -- comprising MCX gold and MCX silver -- has been rising by taking support near Rs 14,750 breaking above resistance at Rs 14,880. That indicates that any dip will now find support at Rs 14,880 and attract buying. With momentum indicator RSI supporting the bull case, the contract is seen gaining towards Rs 15,040 provided that Rs 14,830 holds.
(Ravindra Rao, CMT, EPAT, VP- Head Commodity Research at Kotak Securities)
MCX Bulldex futures -- comprising MCX gold and MCX silver -- has been rising by taking support near Rs 14,750 breaking above resistance at Rs 14,880. That indicates that any dip will now find support..
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Aluminium appears to be in an uptrend after forming a double bottom pattern on LME last year. The CME contract has broken out above $2,300 per metric tonne and is seen testing the $2,500 level in the short term. On MCX, the April contract has clocked a high of Rs 189.90 and appears set to test Rs 204 levels in the short term. A 'buy' is recommended around Rs 188 for a target of Rs 204 with a stop loss at Rs 180.
(Manoj Kumar Jain, Director-Head of Commodity Research, Prithvi Finmart)
Aluminium appears to be in an uptrend after forming a double bottom pattern on LME last year. The CME contract has broken out above $2,300 per metric tonne and is seen testing the $2,500 level in the..
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Silver has witnessed volatility amid strength in gold but also panic selloff in base metals for a few days. Going forward, levels of Rs 67,400-66,900 per kilogram are expected to act as support with Rs 70,750-71,100 on the upside on the cards. A sustained rally in the yellow metal and recoveries in base metals are likely to support silver. A 'buy' is recommended near Rs 68,200-67,800 for a target of Rs 71,000 with a stop loss below Rs 66,000.
(Jateen Trivedi, Senior Research Analyst, LKP Securities)
Silver has witnessed volatility amid strength in gold but also panic selloff in base metals for a few days. Going forward, levels of Rs 67,400-66,900 per kilogram are expected to act as support with ..
MCX gold (June) is facing crucial resistance around Rs 48,700 while support is placed at Rs 47,400, said Manoj Kumar Jain, Director-Head of Commodity Research, Prithvi Finmart.
"Technically, we suggest buying gold on dips around Rs 47,600 with a stop loss at Rs 47,280 for a target of Rs 48,600. The view is for the next 1-2 weeks," he added.
Market participants will closely monitor the ECB announcements due later in the day and the outcome of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting slated for the next week.