Copper leads fall in nervous market
Copper stayed in its ranges on Friday easing only slightly at the close with most market players showing a lack of conviction.
At the start of every new month funds tend to allocate fresh money. Also, traders were expecting more activity in October because of an expected pick-up in demand in the fourth quarter. “Until then, you will have these push-ups, push-downs... people are just wait for something to take these metals out of their ranges,” another floor trader said.
Copper closed at $7,550 a tonne from Thursday’s close at $7,560. Earlier copper hit $7,710. Sentiment was undermined by worries of a global economic slowdown and market fears that large losses at US-based hedge fund Amaranth Advisors could trigger more commodity sell-offs. “The macro side of the equation remains uncertain at best, so continued choppiness appears assured in the short term,” a Triland report said.
On the equity front, European shares lost 1% on Friday as worries about a sharper-than-anticipated landing of the US economy sparked a sell-off in cars, retailers and other stocks seen most exposed to an economic slowdown. Share losses from miners such as BHP Billiton accelerated the market’s fall as investors feared a slower global economy would reduce demand for metals.
A weaker dollar supported the metals as they are denominated in dollars, so a weaker US currency makes them cheaper for buyers in other currencies. The US currency fell to two week-lows after Thursday’s release of the September Philadelphia Federal Reserve’s survey, showing its first negative reading since ‘03.
Aluminium ended at $2,545 against $2,542. The front-end weakness seen in the aluminium curve could be explained by the collapse in alumina prices, a weaker global growth outlook and a tightening monetary policy in the US. Zinc fell $25 to $3,415, lead lost $15 at $1,362 and nickel was last quoted at $27,650/27,655 compared with $27,350/$27,400.
LME inventories fell by 48 tonnes to 6,030, of which only 3,582 or around one day of global nickel consumption is available to the market. The backwardation rose to $2,000/2,000 a tonne, up from $1,160 a week ago, reflecting the tight supply of nickel.
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