‘Commodity market to recover first’

Commodities will be among the first markets to recover from the current economic crisis, according to a report by Boston-based financial research and consulting firm Celent.

NEW DELHI: Commodities will be among the first markets to recover from the current economic crisis, according to a report by Boston-based financial research and consulting firm Celent.

The commodity market rally began in early 2002 and continued until mid-2008. Between 2005 and 2008, it saw accelerated growth due to rising demand from emerging economies, capital infusion from non-commercial players and financial investors, and phenomenal growth in trading on commodity exchanges, the report said.

According to Celent, the global commodities markets reached $15.3 billion in 2008 with 85% of transactions occurring over-the-counter. The commodity market attracts investment from all segments ��� pension funds, mutual funds, insurance companies, hedge funds and CTAs (commodity trading advisors).

Pointing out that the market, which forms 2% of the global derivatives market, has fallen during the current economic crisis. The report attributed the decline to huge deleveraging and oversold positions.

Besides, a rapid slowing of the global economy led to hasty exits from commodities, it added. ���The future of the market will depend on the revival of the overall economy,��� Celent said, adding it would spread over multiple regions, and the
focus would be on integrated trading platforms.
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