Japanese bond yields hit record highs as rate-hike bets firm

The benchmark 10-year JGB yield rose as much as 10 basis points (bps) to 2.73%, the highest ‌level since ⁠May 1997. The ⁠yields on five-year notes and 20-year bonds touched all-time peaks of 2.00% ​and 3.615%, respectively. Yields move inversely t...

Japanese bond yields hit record highs as rate-hike bets firm
Japanese government bond (JGB) yields climbed across the curve ​on Friday, with several ​tenors reaching record highs on rising bets for Bank ​of Japan interest rate hikes amid building inflationary pressures.

The benchmark 10-year JGB yield rose as much as 10 basis points (bps) to 2.73%, the highest ‌level since ⁠May 1997. The ⁠yields on five-year notes and 20-year bonds touched all-time peaks of 2.00% ​and 3.615%, respectively. Yields move inversely to bond prices.

JGB yields extended their climb ​after official data showed wholesale inflation rose at the fastest pace in three years in April, bolstering expectations the central bank ​will tighten policy at its next meeting ⁠in June.


Japanese ‌yields also got a boost from a ​jump in ​U.S. Treasury yields, which hit 11-month highs as traders ⁠wagered the Federal Reserve will need to tighten ​policy, with the protracted conflict in the Middle East ​keeping oil prices well above $100 a barrel and fanning inflation worries across the globe.

"Barring a large-scale cessation of economic activity due to Iran war-related supply constraints becoming a real possibility, we continue to see a high likelihood that the Bank ‌of Japan will implement a rate hike at the June meeting," said Noriatsu Tanji, chief bond strategist at ​Mizuho Securities, ​pointing to a hawkish ⁠shift in recent comments from central bank policymakers.

Tokyo Tanshi interest rate swaps data on Friday indicated a 78% chance of a quarter-point ​hike on June 16.
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Japan's two-year yields, which tend to be the most sensitive to monetary policy expectations, rose as much as 2 bps to 1.415%, the highest since May 1995.

The 30-year yield touched 3.925%, matching a record high from Thursday.
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