Bond market is a buy right now, JP Morgan Asset Management's fixed income head says

There is a "generational amount of yield" in bond markets and it is time to buy debt, with a return of as much as 8% on offer in the US over the next the year, Bob Michele, J.P. Morgan Asset Management's head of global fixed income, said on Tuesday.

The bond market has rebounded following a selloff this month and last, especially in developed-market sovereign debt:

"We expect both the Fed funds rate and the Treasury curve to converge (around 4.5%)," Michele told reporters in Singapore


"Generally at the end of a hiking cycle the yield curve is flat ... so there's plenty of room for yields to run from where they are," he said

Carry and price appreciation are likely to deliver a return in the US market of 7% to 8% over the next 12 months, he said

US 10-year yields were around 4.99% on Tuesday having spent much of the past few weeks above 5%

Investors expect the Fed funds rate window to stay at 3.75% to 4% when the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday

"There is yield all over the place," said Michele. "When we looked at the Treasury curve a few weeks ago when it first went above 5%, to us the buy signal was real yield in the US that got to 3%. The last time we saw that was 2002. So at close to 25 years, that's a buying opportunity."

Japan, Australia, investment-grade credit and emerging market sovereign debt are among the stronger picks, he said.

"Everyone senses there's a generational amount of yield in bond markets," he said. "It's pretty clear with the global capex cycle out there, recession is a very low probability. That means every backup in credit spread (you) should buy."

The "tail risk," he said, was the Fed needing to hike much further than 4.5% to contain inflation