Arcelor shareholders may favour Mittal

The issue at the moment is will Lakshmi Mittal's euro 25.8-bn takeover bid get stakeholders' support or not?

A month back, Arcelor was of the firm belief that it will beat Mittal back--of all reasons it felt that shareholders will reject the bid because it is hostile. A month later, increasingly the battle is shifting to the shareholders, but the tide has turned in favour of Mittal with shareholders accusing the company board of selling out to Russian Steel magnate Alexei Mordachov only to keep at bay India-origin industrialist Lakshmi Mittal.

The issue at the moment is will Lakshmi Mittal's Euro 25.8-billion takeover bid get stakeholders' support or not?

Notwithstanding the arguements given by the directors of Arcelor that the greatest weakness for Mittal remains the corporate governance structure, the shareholders have realised that Arcelor is desperate to escape from Mittal at whatever cost. The question stakeholders are asking is why is Arcelor preferring a creeping takeover by Severstal to the open bid made by Mittal. Mittal has worked very hard to bring about a turnaround in this stance by the shareholders.

When the bid was announced, Mittal had offered four of his company's shares for five of Arcelor's shares and euro 35.25 in cash. Given that Mittal Steel and Areclor shares rose since then, it meant that the value of Mittal was offfering rose as also what he was asking for. At that point, markets hoped that Mittal make his offer more attractive. He revised the bid upwards and allyed fears about corporate governance by announcing some changes in the holding pattern and other governance practices. There was a demand for vote share. To which Mittal was hesitant, as he was convinced about the efficacy of their model of entrepreneurship as opposed to their company being board managed.

While the first offer was to test the waters, the revised offers were made to woo the shareholders. Arcelor directors remained unfazed, convinced that Mittal's offer undervalues the company. The shareholders on the other hand said that,"the bid makes good sense for Mittal Steel, but does it make sense for Us, the stakeholders."

The question has suddenly shifted to, "Arcelor must explain in what way is Severstal more complementary, and just how is the management of a company run by oligarchic billionaire better than Mittla Steel?

Even though the winds of change are visibly moving in favour of mittal as far as sharholders are concerned, it is a long way to go. The funds may be disclosing their decision. Even if he gets a majority, he may then need to take managment control of Arcelor. According to Luxembourg law, Mittal Steel must request Arcelor to convene a shareholder's meetingwith an agenda to remove and re-elect the directors. If the board takes longer than one month to do so, the matter would have to be taken to the courts.

However, there is another scenario that Mittal will not have a majority stake, but may take a minority stake. In that scenario, even if some feel it is good for the stakeholders as Mittal's one foot in the company may spur Arcelor to outdo its performance, the stakeholders feel differently.

According to the voice of the sharholders, "Mittal could in the end find himself a minority shareholder in Arcelor, alongside Mordachov". They claim that this would amount to a "fiasco for the Arcelor Board of Directors", as it could result in the company "being controlled by two rival groups."

TIMELINE
23 November 2005
Arcelor offers to acquire Dofasco Inc. for CAD 56.00 per share.

28 November 2005
But Dofasco and ThyssenKrupp announce a friendly deal for ThyssenKrupp to offer CAD 61.50 per share for Dofasco.

23 December 2005
Arcelor increases its offer to acquire Dofasco Inc. to CAD 63 a share.

3 January 2006
ThyssenKrupp matches Arcelor's offer for Dofasco of CAD 63.00 per share.
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6 January 2006
Dofasco defers activation of shareholders rights plan in respect of Arcelor's offer announced 23 December 2005 and recommends acceptance of ThyssenKrupp's revised offer of 3 January 2006.

14 January 2006
ThyssenKrupp raises its bid for Dofasco to CAD 68 per share.

16 January 2006
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Arcelor raises its bid for Dofasco to CAD 71 per share.

23 January 2006
ThyssenKrupp quits the race: it waives its "right to match" Arcelor's offer of CAD 71.00 per share.
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24 January 2006
Dofasco and Arcelor agree takeover at a price of CAD 71.00 per share. Dofasco resolves to recommend acceptance of Arcelor's offer.

ThyssenKrupp announces it may buy other assets in North America to expand outside Europe.

26 January 2006
Mittal Steel makes an unsolicited bid for Arcelor for EUR 28.21 per share.

27 January 2006
Arcelor calls Mittal's bid hostile.

Dofasco says that Arcelor is committed to pursuing its acquisition of Dofasco at a price of CAD 71 per share.

Mittal offers ThyssenKrupp the opportunity to acquire Dofasco in the event of a takeover of Arcelor.

29 January 2006
Arcelor rejects Mittal's bid, saying that the two companies do not share the same strategic vision, business model and values.

30 January 2006
Arcelor notifies the Dofasco shareholders that it has raised its offer to CAD 71 per share.

1 February 2006
Negative response from France on Mittal Steel bid Nippon’s talks with Dollé begin Luxembourg PM to discuss steel bid Arcelor may seek Asian alliance

2 February 2006
USW express support to Mittal Steel Indian government lends support to Mittal Steel

3 February 2006
Spain against bid for Arcelor Belgium government taking neutral stance on Mittal Steel’s bid UK lends support to Mittal Steel

6 February 2006
Arcelor close to unveiling China project Mittal to resume Europe tour to push Arcelor offer

7 February 2006
Belgian regulator gets Mittal's draft Arcelor bid

8 February 2006
Mr LN Mittal to meet EU parliament head on Arcelor bid Nippon Steel backs Arcelor in hostile bid Mittal hopes to close Arcelor buy in Q2

10 February 2006
Arcelor SA extends deadline for Dofasco takeover bid Department of Justice to probe Mittal Bid Mittal garners German support for Arcelor bid

11 February 2006
Arcelor could buy Eramet to block Mittal Spanish minister concerned over Mittal`s Arcelor bid India chides Europe on view of Mittal bid

12 February 2006
Nippon Steel could prevent Arcelor takeover

14 February 2006
Nippon declines to comment on Change of Control clause in tie up with Arcelor Indian PM may raise Mittal Steel/Arcelor issue with French president

15 February 2006
EU to decide on Mittal Steel - Arcelor issue 16 February 2006 Arcelor receives final approvals to acquire Dofasco shares Mittal Steel announces new steps in the offer procedure Arcelor sweetens dividend as it fights bid

20 February 2006
French bank to back Mittal Steel for bid financing

21 February 2006
Arcelor acquires 88.38% of Dofasco's shares

27 February 2006
Arcelor CEO gives no chance to Mittal Steel bid

27 February
Takeover opposition softens – Mittal Steel CFO

28 Feb 2006
Mittal Steel to furnish a detailed industrial document

1 Mar 2006, Wednesday
Mittal CEO rules out higher price for Arcelor

1 March 2006
Mittal Steel to hunt for acquisitions

6 March 2006
Arcelor to discuss with Mittal only after detailed plans

7 March 2006
Arcelor's employee shareholders urge against sale

8 March 2006
Belgium to decide on Mittal Steel’s bid by April

Arcelor deposits 98.5% of Dofasco's shares

9 March 2006
Arcelor CEO believes that he can fend off Mittal

14 March 2006
Arcelor executives oppose Mittal takeover bid

15 March 2006
Amendment to M&A law proposed

16 March 2006
Mittal presents Arcelor plan to Luxembourg government

16 March 2006
Mittal claims majority support from Arcelor investors

20 March 2006
Mittal not to raise bid for Arcelor

22 March 2006
Luxembourg to vote on takeover law

23 March 2006
Lawmakers back takeover law changes

24 March 2006
Mixed signals on takeover law changes

25 March 2006
Luxembourg not to sell Arcelor’s shares

26 March 2006
Mittal calls for peaceful solution

30 March 2006
Sixty percent of Arcelor stock traded

5 April 2006
Mittal to go ahead with bid

7 April 2006
Luxembourg drops takeover law change

11 April 2006
EU sets target date for Mittal’s bid ruling

12 April 2006
NLMK Chairman interested in a stake in Arcelor

19 April 2006
Mittal sets date of Arcelor offer

20 April 2006
NLMK no longer interested in Arcelor

21 April 2006
Mittal to keep Arcelor stainless for 18 months

23 April 2006
Arcelor says it still has options

24 April 2006
Mittal may have to improve bid

26 April 2006
Arcelor secures EUR 4 billion loan

28 April 2006
Luxembourg scraps takeover law amendment

29 April 2006
Arcelor and Schmolz consolidate

1 May 2006
Arcelor will reconsider Mittal offer

3 May 2006
Mittal calls for action against AAA

3 May 2006
Arcelor’s worth at EUR 33.7 to 40.7 billion

6 May 2006
Mittal offer for Arcelor expected in mid May

8 May 2006
Mittal ready to work out bid

10 May 2006
Mittal willing to revise offer for Arcelor

10 May 2006
EC to extend review of Mittal’s bid

11 May 2006
Arcelor files patent lawsuit against Mittal

11 May 2006
US Antitrust clearance for Arcelor bid

13 May 2006
Mittal granted conditional go ahead for Arcelor

13 May 2006
Information document approved

18 May 2006
Mittal launches bid for Arcelor

19 May 2006
Mittal offer for Arcelor opens

19 May 2006
Mittal improves offer for Arcelor

21 May 2006
Schulz stands firm on Dofasco contract with Mittal

21 May 2006
Mittal says offer period may be extended

27 May 2006
Lucchini supports Arcelor-Severstal merger

27 May 2006
Arcelor-Severstal merger stops Dofasco going to ThyssenKrupp

28 May 2006
Mittal to press ahead with bid for Arcelor

29 May 2006
Mr Ross confirms that Mittal will not raise offer


(source: Stainless steel World.net)
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