The Gulf calling as India rethinks its oil map beyond Russia
India is poised to increase its reliance on West Asian oil suppliers like Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Iraq, as the US intensifies pressure on Russian crude imports. This shift comes as discounts on Russian oil narrow and the US imposes higher tarif...
For decades, India’s refiners sourced most of their crude from West Asia. That changed three years ago when Russia, shut out of European markets after invading Ukraine, began offering deep discounts.
Saudi Aramco and Abu Dhabi National Oil Co., the energy flagships of Saudi Arabia and the UAE and among West Asia’s top crude oil producers, are now back on the list of suppliers India may turn to.
As per the report, import of Russian oil will continue, but India is also looking at diversifying its imports, and higher supplies from West Asia are being looked at.
The lure of Russian crude has dimmed. Discounts have narrowed to around $2 a barrel, and India’s purchases have slipped, though Russia still accounts for 36% of total imports, up from just 2.5% before February 2022.
In FY25, Russia was India’s biggest supplier with $50.28 billion in exports, followed by Iraq ($27.35 billion), Saudi Arabia ($20 billion) and the UAE ($13.86 billion). In the first two months of FY26, Russia shipped $9.16 billion worth of crude to India, ahead of Iraq ($5.36 billion), Saudi Arabia ($3.26 billion), the UAE ($2.8 billion) and the US ($2.7 billion).
India’s refiners can handle both Russian Urals and heavier West Asian grades more easily than lighter US oil such as West Texas Intermediate. This makes Iraq, Saudi Arabia and the UAE natural alternatives. Alongside state-run companies, Reliance Industries and Nayara Energy are also major importers.
Price, however, could be a sticking point. West Asian producers rarely give discounts, and the landed cost after shipping and insurance often tops the headline price. The September Brent contract is currently trading at $66.64 a barrel. Saudi Arabia also charges Asian buyers a premium, and in July raised prices for August deliveries by $1–2.20 a barrel above the regional benchmark, Bloomberg reported.
Still, supply may not be an issue. Opec – led by Saudi Arabia and including the UAE – has about five million barrels a day of spare capacity. “It may be an opportunity for India to reopen its oil requirements to suppliers across the globe,” said Gaurav Moda, partner and leader for energy at EY Parthenon India. “Multiple countries may willingly compete to re-establish their supplies as a critical and ongoing share of India's crude basket… a potential win-win for all involved.”
Despite the pressure, India continues to buy Russian oil. Iraq, meanwhile, boosted shipments to India in 2022 and 2023 by offering discounts of its own.
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