RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Highlights: Sanjay Malhotra & co keeps repo rate unchanged, signals a stronger Rupee ahead; check latest GDP & inflation forecasts
RBI Policy Meeting Highlights: Sanjay Malhotra & co decided to keep repo rate unchanged at 5.25 per cent. The governor warned of higher headline inflation, citing high fuel and food prices, adding that El Nino continues to remain a 'major risk' for the economy.

RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Highlights: In case you missed the Monetary Policy meeting announcements; here's a quick guide:
- Repo rate unchanged: The MPC unanimously kept the repo rate at 5.25% and retained the neutral policy stance.
- Growth outlook improved: RBI raised its FY27 GDP growth forecast to 6.7%, citing resilient domestic demand, robust manufacturing and services activity, and strong exports.
- Inflation forecast lowered: The central bank projected FY27 CPI inflation at 5%, while noting that price pressures remain largely concentrated in food and fuel.
- External sector remains strong: RBI said India's current account remains manageable, supported by strong services exports, remittances, healthy FDI inflows and a turnaround in foreign portfolio investments.
- Liquidity to remain supportive: The central bank said it will continue proactive liquidity management to ensure adequate funds in the banking system and smooth monetary policy transmission.
- Global risks remain a concern: RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra cautioned that uncertainty surrounding the West Asia conflict, global trade policies, crude oil prices, the southwest monsoon and El Niño continues to cloud the outlook for growth and inflation.
The RBI signalled patience, but not complacency. By remaining on hold, the MPC retained flexibility while monitoring whether current inflation pressures prove temporary or evolve into a more generalised inflation cycle.
- Radhika Rao, senior economist & executive director at DBS Bank
RBI repo rate decision hints towards a data-dependent approach, expert says
The policy tone is cautious albeit constructive, balancing uncertainties from the ME conflict, tighter global financial conditions, and El Niño risks against resilient domestic growth and robust FCNR+ inflows. Despite 1Q inflation undershooting RBI's forecast, the MPC has retained its emphasis on El Niño risks, while reiterating that any near-term price pressures would largely be supply-driven unless they broaden into second-round inflation effects for monetary policy to act.
- Madhavi Arora, Chief Economist, Emkay Global Financial Services based on RBI policy announcement.
MPC Meeting Live: RBI repo rate decision reflects forward-looking approach to monetary policy, research expert says
"By preserving policy flexibility, the MPC has struck the right balance between supporting economic growth and maintaining price stability. The emphasis on a data-dependent policy framework provides the RBI with the necessary room to respond proactively to evolving domestic and global macroeconomic conditions, reinforcing confidence in India's macroeconomic and financial stability," Mishra added.
RBI MPC Live: Malhotra says 'we are neither dovish, nor hawkish'
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: The macroeconomic outlook remains uncertain with the West Asia conflict fueling volatility, economist says
"If the geopolitical situation stabilises and the monsoon remains close to normal, we expect the RBI to keep rates unchanged for an extended period. However, if crude oil prices remain elevated and a weak monsoon disrupts agricultural output, driving up food inflation, the RBI may be compelled to raise interest rates by the end of FY27," Chhabra said.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Polymer notes to be rolled out by the beginning of next fiscal year
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Polymer notes enhance durability, says Malhotra
The polymer note expands our capacity as the needs of the economy increases, he added.
However, he added, this is still a pilot to test perform and see how it works in the Indian climate.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: 'Nothing to worry', says Malhotra on geopolitical shocks
"Whether it was COVID, whether it was the Ukraine war, or whether this present shock that we witnessed, we have come out. We have not only faced these challenges, but we have come out stronger. This particular episode of shock is being treated as an opportunity for us to further enhance our resilience, our macroeconomic fundamentals is the other thing," he added.
"Our policy frameworks are robust. Institutions are strong. I think this is what gives us the confidence that come what may, we will emerge stronger from each each episode. There is nothing to worry," Malhotra said.
RBI News Live: IT systems of India's major banks and big regulated entities are quite strong & robust, says Malhotra
"Checks and balances have been put in place to ensure that they are secured. We have not only guidelines and regulations; we also have a supervision which is done very regularly. Any shortfalls or vulnerabilities are pointed out. Measures to be taken to further strengthen the systems are suggested," he added.
"They are followed up, or they are monitored. They are followed up to ensure that the systems work continuously, while new threats and vulnerabilities keep coming up with new developments in the IT sector at the same time. Our banks and regulated also keep preparing and bringing themselves more secure," Malhotra said.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: There is a possibility that the growth my be 7%, says Malhotra
RBI News Live: Malhotra dismisses rumours on 'more banks' in the economy
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Malhotra signals a stronger Rupee ahead
RBI policy announcement: Malhotra dismisses concerns on Rupee valuation against USD
"It has strengthened over the last one month or so, it has strengthened from 97 levels now to 95 levels. So it has strengthened, and our policy has always been that market prices level and demand we don't pursue," he added.
RBI only intervenes in case there is an excessive volatility, he said, adding that there are speculative pressures that are getting built in, and it is it will be the central bannk's endeavor that the trajectory for rupee remains orderly and there is no disruptive moment.
Monetary Policy Meeting 2026 Live: No proposal under consideration to close the FCNRB deposits scheme prematurely, says Malhotra
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Sanjay Malhotra explains MPC's stance on inflation target, repo rate
RBI Policy August 2026: Malhotra & team gear up for to address public queries on latest RBI policy announcement
Monetary Policy Meeting 2026 Live: Malhotra to soon address public queries on latest RBI policy
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: RBI Governor highlights strong FDI, improving capital inflows
As a result, the balance of payments is expected to remain in healthy surplus this year.
RBI monetary policy live: Sanjay Malhotra says India's banking sector remains healthy
Malhotra added that non-banking financial companies also continue to maintain adequate capital, improved asset quality and higher profitability.
RBI monetary policy live: Sanjay Malhotra flags weak monsoon and El Niño as risks to growth
RBI MPC Live: Why is Malhotra & co staying cautious despite resilient growth?
While inflation is expected to rise mainly because of supply-side pressures in food and fuel, he said there is a need for greater clarity on the inflation trajectory before any policy action is considered.
RBI policy live: Inflation pressures remain concentrated in food and fuel, says Malhotra
However, he noted that the pass-through into broader price pressures remains limited, with core inflation excluding precious metals continuing to stay benign. Malhotra said headline inflation is expected to rise further and peak in the third quarter of FY27 before easing, while underlying inflation is likely to remain contained.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Malhotra says global economy remains under pressure from West Asia conflict
He also pointed to fresh US tariffs adding to trade uncertainty, saying the global environment has become increasingly unstable. According to RBI MPC statement, global growth is expected to soften while inflation is projected to remain elevated, with crude oil prices, currencies and financial markets continuing to witness volatility.
RBI policy announcement: Sanjay Malhotra & co announces measures for interest rates on advances
(i) harmonise the guidelines across REs while maintaining proportionality
(ii) address certain operational aspects of the current framework on MCLR and EBLR
(iii) standardise certain divergent market practices concerning interest charging, including day count convention and benchmark reset dates.
These measures seek to ensure uniformity, enhance transparency in loan pricing, strengthen monetary transmission and bolster consumer protection, RBI monetary policy committee said, adding that draft directions incorporating these proposals will be issued shortly for public comments.
RBI repo rate decision: Economist expect 50 bp of rate hike in 2HFY27
"We continue to see scope for 50 bp of rate hike in 2HFY27, especially as 1QFY28 inflation also continues to look above 5%," the economist added.
RBI policy announcement: Central bank to reveal draft guidelines for licensing of Urban Co-operative Banks (UCBs)
RBI MPC Live: Check latest lending rates as repo rate kept unchanged in RBI Policy August 2026
- policy repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) unchanged at 5.25 per cent.
- standing deposit facility (SDF) rate remains at 5.00 per cent
- marginal standing facility (MSF) rate remains at 5.50 per cent
- bank Rate remain at 5.50 per cent
The MPC also decided to continue with the neutral stance.
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Live: India remains resilient amid war, climate risks
- High frequency indicators available so far point towards steady domestic demand in Q1.
- Private consumption remained robust. Investment continues to be resilient, as suggested by various indicators related to construction, capital goods and bank credit.
- External demand also sustained, as healthy expansion in services exports was complemented by a rebound in merchandise exports.
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Live: Malhotra & co warns of Iran war impacts
However, it said, the adverse impact is being contained with various supply side measures.
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Live: A couple of factors cast risk shadow on India's economy
The RBI Policy statement further added that global oil prices have remained volatile with sharp two-way movements triggered by geopolitical developments, blurring the
near-term outlook.
"Although generalised inflation pressures continue to remain modest so far, the risks of higher food, fuel and other input prices translating into a broad-based increase in inflation persist," the central bank said.
RBI Policy Live: Which factors are supporting India's growth? Malhotra answers
These factors reaffirm India’s position as the world's fastest-growing major economy, the central bank said.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Why did the central bank keep repo rate unchanged?
The central bank has adopted a 'wait and watch' approach for the economic conditions, saying, "There is a need for greater clarity to emerge, especially regarding inflation, its path and composition before taking any policy action."
Any such action would also have to consider the need for recalibration of policy rates in line with the evolving growth-inflation dynamics, especially the normalisation of the underlying inflation from its benign levels seen hitherto, the RBI MPC said.
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RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Sanjay Malhotra highlights risks related to El Niño conditions
"Nevertheless, government’s initiatives pertaining to crop diversification including short duration as well as climate-resilient crops, and water harvesting and conservation, among others, are expected to mitigate the impact. Furthermore, sustained momentum in services, continuing impact of GST rationalisation, and broadly stable employment conditions should continue to support urban demand," he added.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: India remains fastest growing economy, prospects for agriculture clouded
However, he said, prospects for agriculture remain clouded.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Malhotra shares key update on India's banking system
In order to enhance transparency in lending rates, it is proposed to harmonise the regulatory framework on advances across regulated entities
- MPC Live: RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Central bank to issue draft guidelines for resuming licensing of urban cooperative banks
RBI MPC Live: FDI inflows in Q1 accounted for $13.5 billion
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: West Asia war poses upside risks to the foreign exchange reserves, says RBI
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: India's CAD remained sustainable last year
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Core inflation projected at 4.3 per cent for FY27
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Check latest inflation estimates by the central bank
- Q2: 4.7
- Q3: 5.9
- Q4: 5.5%
El Nino continues to remain a 'major risk': Malhotra
Looking ahead, the prospects for agriculture are clouded by deficient and uneven. uneven south-hosted monsoons amidst El Nino conditions.
- RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Real GDP for FY27 projected at 6.7 per cent
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Malhotra on impact of re-escalation of the conflict
"Private consumption continued to be driven by buoyant discretionary. Overall, the Indian economy performed better than expected in Q1," Malhotra added.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Sensex holds 300-point gain after RBI keeps rates unchanged; Nifty tops 24,600
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Supply side pressures from West Asia conflict have eased a little bit, Malhotra highlights
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Malhotra says growth outlook looks hazy
West Asia conflict continues to challenge global economy by disrupting key trade routes.
- RBI Governor Malhotra
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Headline inflation projection is primarily on account of supply-side pressures
Core inflation continues to remain moderate, and it is expected to decline after peaking in Q3," RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said.
Growth continues to be supported by resilient domestic demand.
- RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra delivers MPC speech
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Malhotra says headline inflation edged up above target as expected
"The higher inflation is mostly on account of food and fuel. Core inflation continues to be benign. Headline inflation is expected to peak in Q3 of this year and there after moderate," he said.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: MPC decides to keep policy repo rate unchanged at 5.25%; maintain 'neutral' stance
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: The global economic environment has become increasingly unstable, says Malhotra
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Sanjay Malhotra Live!
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: All eyes on Malhotra's repo rate decision
The August MPC comes at a time when geopolitical tensions continue to simmer due to the ongoing war between the USA and Iran, impacting global energy prices and trade. The central bank is set to share the revised estimates of GDP growth, retail inflation, foreign exchange reserves and is expected to comment on India's monsoon and its impact on the economy.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Can India withstand global turmoil? Here's what RBI said in June
In its concluding remarks after the June policy meeting, Governor Sanjay Malhotra acknowledged that global developments had affected India's growth and inflation outlook but stressed that the country was better placed to navigate external shocks. The central bank chief said it would continue to calibrate policies to address emerging challenges while further strengthening India's macroeconomic fundamentals.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Sensex rises 342 points, Nifty above 24,600
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Why are economists expecting the RBI to stay on hold today?
Analysts also expect the central bank to retain its neutral policy stance, supported by easing inflation, resilient economic growth and comfortable external sector indicators. The expected status quo comes as key macroeconomic data since the June policy review has broadly evolved more favourably than the RBI had anticipated.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: What's dividing economists ahead of the RBI policy?
Goldman Sachs and Standard Chartered expect the central bank to lower its inflation projection, citing crude oil prices remaining below the assumptions used in the June policy. On the other hand, Gaura Sen Gupta, Chief Economist at IDFC First Bank, believes the RBI is likely to retain its forecast, arguing that uncertainty over future oil price spikes warrants caution despite softer-than-expected inflation in the June quarter.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Sanjay Malhotra & co warned Indians of inflation risks from oil prices and weak monsoon
In June MPC meeting, the central bank flagged higher crude oil prices, increasing input costs, a forecast of below-normal southwest monsoon and the possibility of El Niño conditions as key risks to the inflation outlook. It also warned that second-round effects on wages and inflation expectations would require close monitoring.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Indian markets open in green ahead of RBI policy
By 9:15 IST, the Nifty was up 0.22% at 24,669.2, while the BSE Sensex added 0.8% to 79,055.38. Twelve of the 16 major sectors logged gains at the opening bell with broader small-caps and mid-caps gaining 0.5% and 0.6%, respectively.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Sensex climbs over 450 pts ahead of Malhotra's address
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Rupee optimistic about Malhotra's repo rate verdict
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RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Malhotra's stance on forex inflows awaited
Madhavi Arora, Chief Economist at Emkay Global, believes the central bank could balance its cautious stance on global developments with optimism over dedicated forex-inflow programmes, which mobilised nearly $41 billion by July-end. At the same time, Sonal Badhan of Bank of Baroda expects the RBI to continue emphasising vigilance amid uncertainty stemming from the conflict in West Asia.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Will central bank's repo rate decision impact the Rupee?
According to Reuters, the currency is expected to open in the 94.94 to 95.02 range after settling at 95.3775 against the dollar on Tuesday. Following the repo rate announcement, a break past the 95 mark would lift the rupee to its highest level in a month, extending its recovery from recent lows to nearly 2%.
The trader, as quoted by Reuters, said the RBI's policy decision was unlikely to have a significant market impact, given the limited scope for surprises.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Live: Malhotra & co expected inflation to rise later in FY27
The RBI projected consumer inflation at 5.1% for FY27, with price pressures expected to intensify during the second and third quarters before easing. While foodgrain stocks and reservoir levels provided some comfort, the central bank warned that higher fuel costs, rising prices of industrial inputs and weather uncertainties could push inflation higher in the coming months.
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Live: Why RBI left rates unchanged in the June MPC meeting?
The RBI said inflation remained below the 4% target despite external shocks, but rising geopolitical risks, elevated energy prices and uncertainty over supply chains warranted caution. Policymakers preferred to wait for greater clarity before making any policy adjustments.
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Live: Sanjay Malhotra & co's decisions would be driven primarily by domestic macroeconomic conditions, expert says
"The upcoming monetary policy will primarily be guided by domestic inflation, liquidity conditions and economic growth rather than mirroring global monetary policy developments," he said.
According to Pai, if global yields remain elevated and debt inflows weaken, the RBI is likely to maintain a neutral and cautious policy stance rather than aggressively easing rates. He added that the central bank would also need to ensure adequate domestic and foreign currency liquidity through appropriate measures to maintain orderly financial market conditions.
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Live: June Policy highlights
- Repo rate unchanged: The MPC unanimously kept the repo rate at 5.25% while retaining the neutral policy stance.
- FY27 growth forecast: The RBI projected real GDP growth at 6.6%, citing global headwinds from the West Asia conflict.
- Inflation outlook: CPI inflation for FY27 was pegged at 5.1%, with risks stemming from higher crude oil prices, supply-chain disruptions and weather uncertainties.
- Foreign capital measures: The RBI announced a series of steps to boost capital inflows, including easing FPI norms, expanding the Fully Accessible Route (FAR) for government securities, and incentivising ECBs and FCNR(B) deposits.
- Forex policy: The central bank reiterated that it does not target any specific rupee level but will continue to curb excessive volatility and ensure orderly market conditions.
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Live: Malhotra & co flagged global uncertainty amid West Asia conflict in June policy
It also noted that advanced economy central banks were becoming more cautious amid renewed inflation concerns, while emerging market currencies faced pressure from risk-off investor sentiment.
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Live: Where to watch Sanjay Malhotra's address
You can also track live updates of the RBI MPC August on our liveblog and watch the live streaming on ET website.
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Live: RBI MPC date and time
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Live: Check latest India GDP projection by RBI
Weather-related risks and prolonged geopolitical uncertainty also remained key downside risks to growth.
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Live: What was Sanjay Malhotra's key message after the June MPC meeting?
He said policy efforts would focus on navigating near-term risks without losing sight of the broader objective of making the economy more resilient against future external shocks.
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Live: Will the RBI hold repo rate today? Economists think so
Economists also unanimously expect the RBI to retain its neutral policy stance. While the policy is widely seen as a "wait-and-watch" meeting, analysts say policymakers are likely to closely assess evolving global risks before signalling their next move.
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Live: Welcome to ET's MPC coverage
Welcome to the live coverage of RBI MPC August 2026. Governor Sanjay Malhotra, along with other members of the Monetary Policy Committee began deliberations on Monday, with market participants widely expecting the central bank to keep the benchmark repo rate unchanged while maintaining a neutral stance amid evolving domestic inflation dynamics and global uncertainties.